Air Conditioner Market - Global Outlook and Forecast 2019-2024

INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

The global air conditioner market size to reach USD 145 billion by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period. The global air conditioner (AC) market is expected to be driven by three major countries – China, the US, and Japan during the forecast period. These countries account for more than 70% of the value and over 60% of the volume of air conditioner equipment. The market growth is expected to be steady, with supply-side parameters not affecting the air conditioner (AC) industry cost structure on a wider scale. The challenges are majorly from the demand side with a varying degree of fluctuation across the regions.  On the demand side, the volumes are growing, while the prices have not been allowed to fluctuate drastically due to high competition. Geographically, APAC is the leader in the demand for AC. The consumer acceptance of new and efficient products is low in APAC while the same is high in North America and Western Europe.

The increased construction output in APAC is boosting the market significantly. The APAC region is the major end-user and also a major manufacturing hub. China, India, and Thailand are the leading manufacturing hub in the APAC region. At the global level, China leads the variable refrigerant flow (VRF) segment, with more than 55% share in sales, followed by Japan, Europe, and South Korea. The demand for multi-split models is growing rapidly across APAC, driven by steady economic progress and commercial office construction growth.

Stringent regulatory compliances are expected to increase as the greenhouse gas emission, and electricity consumption is growing at a rapid pace. In many of the regions, 70% of the electricity consumption at residential spaces is on account of using air conditioner devices. More than 40 countries have implemented standards and labeling policies for the models. Therefore, on-going improvements in technology are mainly driven by regulatory compliance and amenability.

AIR CONDITIONER MARKET SEGMENTATION

This research report includes a detailed segmentation by

• Type
• Applications
• Geography

INSIGHTS BY TYPE 

The demand for single and multi-split models is growing rapidly. The growing electricity consumption has driven the high adoption of grade 1 RAC, with better energy efficiency and low cost. Although window units are inexpensive, the popularity is declined as they restrict the natural flow of air and light and produce a high level of vibration and noise.

Single split air conditioner devices are majorly replacing window AC models in the residential sector, as they are highly efficient. The efficiency is estimated to be up to 30% more than the other types of devices. Non-inverter types single split devices are majorly in demand in low-income countries as the inverter type has a high installation cost. 

Multi-split AC is used to cool multiple rooms. The multi-split segment is one of the fastest-growing as these allow for multiple types of indoor units. The decline in window AC has resulted in the growth of both single and multi-split models. Multi-split devices are mainly used in the commercial sector, especially in small offices.

Commercial air conditioner devices are mainly used to provide air conditioning to a large space making use of highly efficient cooling systems. VRF systems are mainly the HFC-compliant, while packaged models are still dependent on HCFC refrigerant in APAC and the Middle East. Japan, Oceania, and the US to a larger extent have shifted entirely to HFC refrigerants. China and other APAC countries have emerged as major end-users of multi-split devices. VRFs are replacing chillers in many regions and have a higher potential in the future. Packaged air conditioner devices and VRF systems provide significant opportunities for energy savings through reduced greenhouse gas emissions. The usage is high in Europe and North America, growing steadily in other regions. Smaller commercial buildings such as hotels and offices are the major end-users.

INSIGHTS BY APPLICATION

As the requirement for air conditioning is growing, the residential sector is exhibiting stronger demand than the commercial sector. The growth in the residential construction market and the replacement market are the major drivers for the demand in the residential sector. Soaring temperatures across regions, due to global warming, have increased the demand even from those regions which were earlier characterized by ideal climatic conditions. Changing climatic conditions, affordability, and lifecycle cost savings play a major role in increasing market demand.

The demand for air conditioners from the commercial sector is growing significantly. The sector makes use of highly efficient models as they can afford a high initial investment.  The advent of flexible/co-working spaces has provided more opportunity for the manufacturers, as they account for up to 6% of the total office space in 20 of the principal global markets (cities of US, Western Europe, Middle East, China, Australia, Japan, South Korea, and India). Furthermore, the growth of low-cost airlines across all regions has not only pushed up the air traffic but also has led to the development of new airports. Most airlines in APAC exhibited double-digit growth. The reason attributed – modernization of airport, the launch of many greenfield airports, an increase in the number of low-cost carriers, and overall regional economic growth. Hence, the growth in commercial spaces and low-cost air travel are expected to influence sales in the commercial sector.

INSIGHTS BY GEOGRAPHY

The growth in APAC is largely driven by metropolitan and tier 2 cities with high disposable income. China, India, and Southeast Asian countries are some of the regions, which have a high potential for the market. The largely untapped tier 2 and tier 3 cities' growth rate for AC consumption is slow and offsets the rapid growth witnessed in major urban hubs.

The North American AC market has been boosted by high capital investments and the rise in the consumer income, aided by tax cuts. The trend is positive and bullish in the market. The competition is high and the pricing structure plays an important differentiating factor. The demand is mainly for high-energy efficient devices. Stringent administrative guidelines on reducing the energy consumption will have a major impact on the industry with respect to cost and selling price. The US market is driven by the rise in residential construction and the growing demand for replacements.

The Europe market has been growing steadily with respect to value; however, the volume has been stagnant. The long-term outlook for demand in Europe is moderately positive, while the short-term outlook is very bright. Extended summers and heat waves are increasing the demand in the short term. The demand is on the rise in Latin America, as the temperatures soar in summers to very high degrees, and also, the disposable income of the population has grown significantly.

INSIGHTS BY VENDORS

The competitive intensity for the air conditioner market is higher in APAC currently on account of a largely untapped market. Vendors compete on various factors such as brand, geographical presence, product portfolio, features of the products, refrigerants used, power consumption, and efficiency of the products developed.

The air conditioner market research report includes in-depth coverage of the industry analysis with revenue and forecast insights for the following segments:

Market Segmentation by Type

• RAC 
• Single Split ACs
• Window ACs
• Multi Split ACs
• CAC
• PAC
• VRF

By Application

• Residential Sector 
• Commercial Sector
• Office Space
• Airports and Public Utilities
• Hospitality
• Hospitals
• Industrial and Others

By Geography

• Europe 
• Germany
• France
• Italy
• UK
• Spain
• Russia
• Switzerland
• APAC
• China
• Japan
• India
• Australia
• Indonesia
• South Korea
• North America
• US
• Canada
• Latin America
• Mexico
• Brazil
• Argentina
• Colombia
• Middle East & A frica
• Saudi Arabia
• Turkey
• South Africa
• UAE
• Egypt